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Nice one on that. cashed

EG, you have to give me a couple picks for tomorrow...

I'm going to go out tonight and put most of my bets for the full slate tomorrow.

TODAY'S RACES
MARATHON
1. Mastery. 2. Cloudy's Knight.
3. Nite Light.
Mastery certainly gets the trip as he just won at this crazy 1 3/4-mile distance. The amazing Jonathan Sheppard brought 9-year-old Cloudy's Knight off a year layoff and promptly won two stakes. Nite Light should be loose on the lead.
JUVENILE FILLIES TURF
1. Tapitsfly. 2. Lillie Langtry.
3. Rose Catherine.
My clocker friends love Tapitsfly and she will be a big price. Lillie Langtry's Euro form sort of jumps off the page.
JUVENILE FILLIES
1. She Be Wild. 2. Connie and Michael. 3. Blind Luck.
She Be Wild had some issues when second in Alcibiades at Keeneland after three dominating wins at Arlington Park. Connie and Michael was dazzling in her maiden win.
FILLY AND MARE TURF
1. Forever Together. 2. Midday.
3. Rutherienne.
Defending champ Forever Together finally gets the hard turf she loves for Sheppard who is having one of the best years in his Hall of Fame career. Midday has been right there with some of Europe's best fillies.
FILLY AND MARE SPRINT
1. Ventura. 2. Informed Decision. 3. Sara Louise.
This looks like a two-horse race. Ventura gets a favorable post draw and absolutely loves this surface. Informed Decision is 6-for-6 on synthetics and beat my choice in April at Keeneland.
LADIES CLASSIC
1. Music Note. 2. Careless Jewel.
3. Rainbow View.
Music Note has all the figures and Godolphin has been on a 3-month roll. Careless Jewel should control the pace, but I wonder if she is as good on synthetic as she is on dirt.


Dick picking a few nice winners today.
linc

EasyGoer
RE: Breeders Cup
Reply
11/6/2009 2:45 PM


Section371 - Goldikova in the Mile tomorrow is the closet thing to a sure thing. She is the best filly in the world - not Rachael Alexandra.


Short price better than a loooongggg face.

I'll still throw in a few bombs in my exoctic wagers.

I'm doing OK so far.

I'd be happy to break even.

Tough business making money at the track.

Tough to bet a 2/5 shot in the 7th race.

While her late wide run works against inferior fillies and mares, it likely will not work against a solid group of older males.

Here is a quick look at a trio of beatable short priced favorites on Saturday:

Zensational (7/5 in Sprint): The Bob Baffert trainee has been off flat footed in each of his last two starts, breaking fourth in a five horse field in the Pat O'Brien (G1) and fifth and last in the Bing Crosby (G1) two back. I secretly was rooting for a rail draw and got it. If this guy breaks here as he did in his last two starts, he could be in deep waters if some of the speed to his outside angle in on him. He just has the look of the underlay of the day to me at the 7/5 ML odds.

Lookin At Lucky (8/5 in Juvenile): The colt is undefeated in four starts including winning the Norfolk (G1) over the main track here. Baffert is very high on this colt and he figures to go off as the favorite despite the really tough post. Breaking from the 12 and 13 post over this main track is a kiss of death and could be tough to overcome for a two year old, even one this talented. He might be one of the shortest prices on the day, and just tough to back him at the ML of 8/5 or possibly less.

Mastercraftsman (6/5 in Dirt Mile): The colt is the classiest in here, doing battle with Sea of Stars three times, and back in August at York was only beaten a length in the Juddmonte International Stakes (G1). The colt handled poly last out in a weak Group 3 at Dundalk as the heavy favorite. He is cutting back from 1 5/16 to a mile here but has run well at the distance on the turf and Murtagh usually has him in the race early, usually tracking the pace in third our fourth. He could be farther back here and there is not much early zip in here, which may not help him. He will be tough to beat, but hard to get excited about backing him at a price that will probably be around even money. I am taking a small stab against him with Mr. Sidney.

Here is my take on a wide-open Classic:

SA Race 9 BC Classic G1 (3:45 pt)
#7 Gio Ponti 12/1
#8 Einstein 12/1
#9 Girolamo 20/1
#10 Rip Van Winkle 7/2
Analysis: #7 Gio Ponti tries a synthetic surface for just the third time here, and the four time Grade 1 winner on turf this year is going to get overlooked on the tote. We can excuse his last where he caught very soft turf in the Joe Hirsch (G1). He tracked a slow pace, made a quick move around the far turn to get into the mix, surged to the lead, but the pacesettter Interpataion had some left in reserve after having things pretty easy up front and scored a shocker, paying $89.50. The colt went into that race riding a four race win streak, all in Grade 1's, and had he won that race and won here, he would be a deserving horse of the year candidate in most years. Last December he won the Sir Beaufort (G3) on the Pro Ride in a race taken off the turf. Two back he won the Arlington Million (G1), and that race has been productive. Runner up Just as Well won the Northern Dancer (G1) via DQ in his next start while Presious Passion bounced back by winning the Clement Hirsch (G1) in his next outing. The Clement colt is going to bounce back here and we should catch a decent price.

#8 Einstein is another hard knocking Grade 1 winner who is going to get overlooked on the tote here. Last out in the pacific Classic (G1) he had a tough post, stalked the early pace fro the outside, took command in the stretch and could not hold off the late running #6 Richard's Kid. The seven year old can run on any surface and won the Santa Anita 'Cap (G1) over the Pro ride here back in March. After his Arlington Million flop I thought he might have seen better days but his effort last out produced a career top Beyer.

#9 Girolamo is in deep here but I loved his Jerome Handicap (G2) win. The colt gets the ultimate class test here but he looks capable of moving forward off his last outing and that would put him right in the mix here. He makes his first start on a synthetic surface and first around two turns, but at least we should see a price. He should have no problem handling the exacta ground. He is by A.P. Indy out of a Mr. Prospector mare. He is a half to a couple of nice runners in Accelerator ($415K) and Daydreaming ($697K).

#10 Rip Van Winkle is coming off back to back Group 1 wins on turf trainer Aidan O'Brien says this could be the best horse he has brought to the Breeders' Cup. The colt has had some foot issues that the trainer says will be no problem today. After Raven's Pass and Henrythenavigator ran one-two last year, this guy is going to get a lot of attention at the windows. In such a wide open race, we will look for more value for the top spot.

#4 Zenyatta puts her undefeated record on the line as she tries the boys for the first time and this is her first go at 1 1/4 miles. I just cannot see her coming with the late move and running by this group, and she looks like she may be the underlay of the day.

Wagering
WIN: #7 to win at 5/1 or better.
EX: 7,8 / 7,8,9,10
TRI: 7,8 / 7,8,9,10 / 3,4,6,7,8,9,10

linc

Life is Sweet

Bet the grays and bet the bombs

OK, yesterday was practice. The best bet today is M One Rifle in race 1 (not part of the BC card). I am keying with six horses in the Juvey Turf and ten horses in the Turf sprint for a $60 investment.

Not much else excites me today other than Radiohead.

Zenyatta is amazing

Awesome day...for first half of the races, it looked like my best bets were going to be the scartches I'd get money back on, but I hit the trifecta in the Juvenile with Vale of York. Holy shit...$1,200 on a $6 bet. That's why I love horse racing.

I got the exacta in the Classsic, too, so I ended up having a great, great day.

That's awesome F-d

OK, finally Radiohead is all systems go...scratched last Saturday for today at Gulfstream. Race 3 going a mile against some salty competition. 3-1 on the morning line...

EasyGoer

Nice one dude...

What did he go off at?

Not enough....

Paid 5.20 but a win is a win is a win...

Hit the 9th at Gulfstream ($10)and the 10th at Tampa (6.20) across the board.

EG, I'm stopping by the off-track for a couple hours tomorrrow. Any hot tips for me?

I'll page him.

Thanks, GGB. Gambling is fun, but winning is better, so I'd rather just get the winners from EasyGoer in advance.

Take the 10 horse in the 3rd at Laurel.

Is that today or tomorrow?

NTF, that was a joke. I met him at the track once and just randomly popped a 20 on a horse that I liked only because of it's relative odds and it was my last bet of the day and won.


He is on his way home from the track as we speak, I am sure he will put something out here for you in time.

I almost called it in!

Is EasyGoer seriously full time at the track?

Take Shrimp Dancer (#7) in the 10th at Aqueduct tomorrow (the Gotham). He owes me and should be a BIG price.

I liked two horses at Gulfstream today. The 9 in race 2 and the 8 in race 4. I am not full time - I only go Weds - Sunday.

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