f-dallas

Breeders Cup


Reply


10/26/2007 3:16 PM




Well, I know few out there bet the ponies, but the Breeders cup is tomorrow. The huge wild card is Lawyer Ron, who placed 9th last year but is now trained by Todd Pletcher...currently the favorite.

1 LAWYER RON (VELAZQUEZ) 5/2
2 STREET SENSE (BOREL) 3-1

3 ANY GIVEN SATURDAY (GOMEZ) 4-1
4 CURLIN (ALBARADO) 3-1

5 GEORGE WASHINGTON (KINANE) 20-1
6 AWESOME GEM (FLORES) 30-1
7 DIAMOND STRIPES (VELASQUEZ) 15-1
8 HARD SPUN (PINO) 8-1

9 TIAGO (SMITH) 12-1



Johnny Velazquez knows Monmouth like the back of his hand, so you can't sleep on Lawyer Ron. Honestly, I would have thrown him out otherwise. Gomez knows this track very well too.

Since Monmouth is my "home track" in the sense that it's the one I visit the most and bet on most frequently, I can tell you that it's a track that favors speed. There will be days at Monmouth where horses will go wire to wire in 1/2 the races.

With that said, I tend to believe that's mote a product of the competition than the track. You'll have a lot of cases where Pletcher (or someone like him) will run a horse down for 1 race and he's not coming down for the fresh air...

All that said, I think Hard spun has a chance to run off Lawyer Ron, I think Street Sense might have trouble closing in the muck.

I guess that leave Curlin standing, but I don't like the odds on him.

Anyone have any thoughts on the race?

Also, not sure if he has any mounts or not but if Stewart Elliot is much earlier in the day, feel free to bet against him frequently. He suck donkey balls (or at least he has since he rode Smarty Jones).




GlennGoBlue

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


10/26/2007 3:29 PM




My money is on Sonador.




Fred_Barnett

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


10/26/2007 4:17 PM




f-dallas 700Level Membership Photo






EagleNY

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


10/26/2007 6:13 PM




Lawyer Ron has had success on the wet track before. Leaning towards him for that reason alone.

Odds are awfully low for the Classic, if I make it to the Turf Club tomorrow I'll likely make a few plays on the "undercard" instead.




f-dallas

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


10/29/2007 10:02 AM




Kinda played out exactly as I expected, but I didn't cash a ticket.

Because the odds were so low, I basically took Curlin and spread him out in a bunch of exotics, but I didn't get the right combinations.

Curlin's a great horse and Lawyer Ron is a fraud. Street Sense's trainer should choke that jockey for guiding him to the rail, where there was a moat.




NotoriousEAG

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


10/29/2007 11:19 AM




Curlin paid off at like 4-1 didn't he?

What a horse!




f-dallas

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


10/29/2007 12:41 PM




4-1 is about right, but that's a terrible payout.

I mean, in a race like that where there are 3 or 4 of the best horses out there running against each other, how can you make money on a 4-1 horse?

It would be easy enough for Curlin to lose, so you can't just drop G on him to win.




NotoriousEAG

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


11/6/2009 11:20 AM




Anyone got any picks for today?




f-dallas

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


11/6/2009 11:51 AM




I'm looking for help here, too. The Level horse junkies need to come out and deliver.




NotoriousEAG

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


11/6/2009 11:53 AM




Where is EasyGoer?




GlennGoBlue

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


11/6/2009 12:04 PM




EasyGoer up and quit his job to gamble full time for an indefinite period of time. My guess is that he is at Delaware Park as we speak.




NotoriousEAG

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


11/6/2009 12:11 PM




You have to admire a guy like that.

Can you text him?




EasyGoer

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


11/6/2009 12:17 PM




Friday:

Marathon - two Euros (both) faves Mastery & Father Time over Cloudy's Knight, Eldaafer, & Gangbuster.

Filly Juv Turf - The fave will be Euro Lillie Langtry who towers over the field based on her form. However she has had two rough mornings this week - washing out and very high strung. Tread lightly. I will go with Tapitsfly who has been working lights out in the am. Also, use Junia Tepzia who could be any kind (recently purchased by Team Valor).

Juv Fillies - My best bet on the card is Connie and Michael. Only one lifetime start but it could not have been more impressive crushing a good maiden field at Keeneland. I will use first and second with Zilva, Beautician, She Be Wild, and Negligee.

Filly & Mare Turf - If Forver Together runs her race, everyone else is racing for second. I like her on top. Midday will be overbet as she is unlikely to get the distance. I will use Dynaforce as she could be the controlling speed.

Filly & Mare Sprint - Ventura is stand out but will need some pace. Informed Decision looks second best. Sara Louise the wildcard.

Ladies Classic - Several different ways to go in here. If you key Ventura in horizontal wagers, you can buy this race as only eight signed on.

So, the pick four for the Level:

Race 5: 4,6,10
Race 6: 2,7
Race 7: 9
Race 8: ALL

Total investment $48.





EasyGoer

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


11/6/2009 12:18 PM




Not going to the track for another 45 minutes...




NotoriousEAG

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


11/6/2009 12:20 PM




Thanks alot, EG! Headed to the TC this afternoon




EasyGoer

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


11/6/2009 12:25 PM




I will post my picks for tomorrow card's later. However, if I get too F'd up (which is the best bet of the day) bet Radiohead tomorrow...across the board, in exactas etc.




GlennGoBlue

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


11/6/2009 12:31 PM




NTFF!



Going to the track with EG is the best. Need to do that again soon.




section 371

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


11/6/2009 12:33 PM




These BC races are crazy every year

Bet the bombs




EasyGoer

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


11/6/2009 2:44 PM




Back from DelPark and ran into Glenn's boy Stan Hochman. He was betting football parlays and horses. Talked to him for about 15 minutes. He wanted to know where to get a corned beef sandwich. I told him not sure but I know where you can get a vodka and OJ in a big cup. I told him I was not sure if the "on a roll" Deli was still open.




EasyGoer

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


11/6/2009 2:45 PM




Section371 - Goldikova in the Mile tomorrow is the closet thing to a sure thing. She is the best filly in the world - not Rachael Alexandra.




GlennGoBlue

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


11/6/2009 2:50 PM




"but I know where you can get a vodka and OJ in a big cup."




Is he at my house now?




EasyGoer

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


11/6/2009 3:41 PM




Oh, and I am looking to split the pick six tomorrow with a few Drexel grads...




NotoriousEAG

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


11/6/2009 3:55 PM




NTFF

Trevor Denman is the ebst in the business.

Register to watch from work

I love you Internet


Big bucks paid out on the exotics in race 2
linc




NotoriousEAG

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


11/6/2009 3:56 PM




$1 super paid 65 grand




EasyGoer

RE: Breeders Cup


Reply


11/6/2009 5:21 PM




There you go...Tapitsfly wins and pays $21.60. Lets hit this pick three...




1  2 3 4 










1. KeithByars  2. f-dallas  3. Fred_Barnett  4. Seth in 736  5. NotoriousEAG

View Members List